According to Reasons to be Cheerful, a story originally published by The Trace points to a second ‘Great Crime Decline’ already underway in the United States. The piece argues that the nation’s historic drop in homicides – most of which are committed with firearms – signals a broad decline in crime rates.
The article explains that gun violence and homicide are closely linked, so a sustained reduction in gun‑related killings translates into lower overall homicide numbers. It highlights that this trend marks a notable shift from previous patterns, suggesting the country may be entering a new era of public safety. The post also invites readers to subscribe to The Trace’s newsletters for further updates and notes that it first appeared on the Reasons to be Cheerful site.
The term ‘Great Crime Decline’ refers to significant, sustained reductions in violent crime that have occurred in U.S. history, most notably in the 1990s. Identifying a second wave would signal a major policy and social shift, particularly given the central role of firearms in American homicide statistics.